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2004.11.03 @ 1:40pm
Election 2004: Bush, Republicans Win Big Full Presidential Results
With three House seats too close to call (and two in Louisiana being forced to a runoff), Republicans will lead the 109th Congress with a 232-199-1 split in the House and a 55-44-1 in the Senate. Bush won the popular vote with a slim but clear majority (51%-48%), and the electoral vote by a more decisive margin (286-252). (I had predicted a 296-242 result with a similar popular vote; I predicted Bush would barely win Wisconsin's 10 electoral votes, but Kerry took them.) Voter turnout set a few records. About 120 million, or 60% of eligible voters, voted in this year's election, meaning about 60 million people voted for Bush -- the most votes any candidate has ever received. That percentage turnout is the highest since 1968. At least six southern states -- AL, FL, GA, SC, TN, VA -- and DC set turnout records. Compare to 2000 (105.4 million voters, 54% turnout), 1996 (96.3 million, 49%), and 1992 (104.4 million, 55%).
Georgia Election Results
Three of Georgia's Representatives in the 108th Congress left open seats for the 2004 election in favor of running for Zell Miller's open Senate seat. A fourth was ousted by a successful challenge, leaving nine incumbents to be re-elected. The party balance among Georgia's representatives in the House drops from an 8-5 to a 7-6 Republican majority, but Republican Johnny Isakson took over Democrat Zell Miller's Senate seat to offset the Republican loss in the House. Meanwhile, the party balance in the General Assembly improved considerably for Republicans, who boosted their majorities in both the state Senate and House, to 34-22 and 96-84 respectively. Now the campaigns begin to determine whether current party leadership in each house needs to be reconsidered. For full complete, statewide results, click the links below: General: Nov. 4 and Nov. 23 runoff Constitutional Amendment: Marriage (a) This state shall recognize as marriage only the union of man and woman. Marriages between persons of the same sex are prohibited in this state. Constitutional Amendment: Courts The Georgia Constitution already allowed the 11th US Circuit Court of Appeals in Atlanta to ask the Georgia Supreme Court to answer an unsettled question about state law that could have an important bearing on the outcome of a federal lawsuit. The proposed amendment expands that authority to the federal court judges in Georgia who sit one level below the federal appeals court. (The proposed amendment would allow litigants in US District Courts the opportunity to find the answer to an important state-law question long before their case is appealed to the 11th Circuit.) I strongly disagree with the marriage amendment. The sole purpose of it is to restrict the rights of others without any moral obligation or justification. It is a tyrannical suggestion aimed simply at forbidding actions that harm no outside parties. I don't see any problem with the second amendment, though I voted against it. Both amendments passed. Bush or Kerry?
This is a close race. Anyone who disbelieves that is either too partisan or delusional to be helped. About 90 electoral votes (Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico) could swing either way, with Bush needing only about 35 of them. My Prediction:
George W. Bush had a clear advantage as early as late August, when attention on John Kerry's service in Vietnam erased Kerry's lead in the polls even before the RNC began. The first debate seemed to even things up a bit and perhaps give Kerry a slight advantage, but Bush's performance in the latter two debates even things up and perhaps have given Bush a solid advantage. The current national polls favor Bush, but as we learned in 2000, the popular winner won't necessarily be the electoral winner if the race is too close! The state polls are all that matter for electoral purposes. Popular Vote: Bush 49.5% - Kerry 47.5% How I Will Vote, and Why:
My brother is a Marine, therefore I support every spending measure that will afford our troops the best equipment and tools to do their job safely and efficiently (advantage: Bush).
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